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International Futures (IFs) is a long-­term integrated global forecasting system, designed to facilitate the exploration of global futures. The IFs system allows users to analyze trends and interactions within and across agricultural, demographic, economic, educational,energy, environmental, health, infrastructure, and socio-­political subsystems, in 186 interacting countries. Users can simulate potential paths of human development by making interventions that will affect,and even potentially reshape,the entire dynamic system.

This internal note describes, and illustrates by examples, some of the key features of the International Futures (IFs) model and at the same time strengths and weaknesses in its ability to deliver insights on policy guidance and acceleration. It is the hope that it will give anyone thinking of doing, or having done, an IFs analysis a better idea of what can be expected from such an analysis in terms of results and outputs, and importantly also a better idea of what kind of work/analysis and pre-conditions are required prior to using the model to ensure a good quality analysis which can confidently be used to guide policy decisions and prioritizations.

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Published in August 2018

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